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DIAL Development Conference 

Shocks in Developing Countries

June 30th and July 1st 2011, Paris


Programme Overview (printable version with rooms)
June 30th 2011
8:30 -  9:00 Breakfast and Registration
9:00 -  9:30 Opening speech
9:30 - 10:30 Keynote: Ann Harrison (University of California, Berkeley and NBER)
"Industrial Policy and Competition"
10:30 - 11:00 Coffee break
11:00 - 12:30 Parallel Sessions A
12:30 - 14:00 Lunch
14:00 - 15:30 Parallel Sessions B
15:30 - 16:00 Coffee break
16:00 - 17:30 Parallel Sessions C
18:00 Visit of Musée d'Orsay and Gala Dinner at the museum restaurant
July 1st 2011

9:00 -  9:30 Breakfast and Registration
9:30 - 10:30 Keynote: Stefan Dercon (Oxford University)
"Insuring the Poor: some recent puzzles"
10:30 - 11:00 Coffee break
11:00 - 12:30 Parallel Sessions D
12:30 - 14:00 Lunch
14:00 - 15:30 Parallel Sessions E
15:30 - 16:00 Coffee break
16:00 - 17:30 Parallel Sessions F
17:30 Closing Cocktail

Detailed Programme (printable version with rooms)

To download a paper, simply click on its title

Thursday, June 30th 

8:30 - 9:00

Breakfast and Registration


9:00 - 9:30

Opening speech


9:30 - 10:30

Keynote: Ann Harrison (University of California, Berkeley and NBER)

"Industrial Policy and Competition"



10:30 - 11:00

Coffee break


11:00 - 12:30

Parallel Sessions A






Climate change & natural disaster




I. Climate change compounding risks in North Africa

Zylberberg Yanos


Drine Imed, UNU, WIDER



II. Do tropical typhoons smash community ties? Theory and Evidence from Vietnam

Echevin Damien


Zylberberg Yanos, Paris School of Economics



III. Food Security and the Allocation of Emergency Relief Funds after the 2010 Earthquake in Haiti

Drine Imed


Echevin Damien, University of Sherbrooke and CRCELB (Chairman)






Finance and monetary policy (I)




I. Decomposing Terms of Trade Fluctuations in Ethiopia

Ndiaye Ameth S.


Loening Dr. Josef, The World Bank



with Masato Higashi



II. Impact de la fuite des capitaux sur l’investissement domestique en Zone Franc

Nubukpo Kako Kossivi


Ndiaye Ameth Saloum, Department of Economics, University of Dakar



III. Impact d’une dévaluation du Franc CFA sur la balance commerciale et la production dans les pays de l’Union Economique et Monétaire Ouest Africaine (UEMOA)

Loening Dr. Josef


Nubukpo Kako Kossivi, UEMOA, Unité de Programmation Stratégique (Chairman)


with Cedric Kiema, Gilles Sanou






Food prices




I. Food prices, social unrest and the Facebook generation: are you prepared for the total collapse?

Jean Sébastien


Arora Abhimanyu, Katholieke Universiteit, Leuven



with Marijke Verpoorten, Jo Swinnen



II. Optimal food price stabilisation in a small open developing country

Fruttero Anna


Jean Sébastien, INRA and CEPII



with Christophe Gouel



III. Rising food prices and household welfare: evidence from Brazil in 2008

Arora Abhimanyu


Fruttero Anna, The World Bank (Chairman)



with Francisco H.G. Ferreira, Phillippe Leite, Leonardo Lucchetti





Political instability and war




I. Children of the Revolution: Fetal and Child Health amidst violent civil conflict

Leone Marinella


Valente Christine, University of Sheffield



II. First and Second Generation Health Impacts of the Biafran War

Muller Christophe


Leone Marinella, University of Sussex



with Richard Akresh, Sonia Bhalotra, Una Osili



III. Group violence, ethnic diversity, and citizen participation: evidence from Indonesia

Valente Christine


Muller Christophe, DEFI, AMSE, Université d'Aix-Marseille (Chairman)



with Marc Vothknecht






Social networks (I)




I. Saving microinsurance: why you should do both or nothing. A behavioral experiment on the Philippines

Adjakidje Didier


Landmann Andreas, University of Mannheim



with Bjoern Vollan, Markus Froelich



II. Capital social et pauvreté au Cameroun

Comola Margherita


Adjakidje Didier, Catholic Relief Services, Benin



with Janvier Metangmo, Komi A. Segla



III. Are Gifts and Loans between Households Voluntary?

Landmann Andreas


Comola Margherita, Paris School of Economics (Chairman)





12:30 - 14:00



14:00 - 15:30

Parallel Sessions B






Education (I)




I. The impact of income shocks on children education: the 1987-1989 locust plague in Mali

Luzi Lucia


Guilbert Nathalie, DIAL, Université Paris-Dauphine



with Philippe De Vreyer, Sandrine Mesplé-Somps



II. Long-Term Impact of Health and Nutrition Status on Education Outcomes for children in Rural Tanzania

Menendez Marta


Luzi Lucia, Unicef, IRC



III. Critical periods and the long-run effects of income shocks on education: evidence from Indonesia

Guilbert Nathalie


Menendez Marta, DIAL, Université Paris-Dauphine (Chairman)



with Jérémie Gignoux






Employment and occupational choices




I. The impact of weather shock induced migration flows on labor market outcomes: evidence from Sub-saharan Africa

Bianchi Milo


Valfort Marie-Anne, Université de Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne



with Eric Strobl



II. Liquidity, Risk, and Occupational Choices

Ciarli Tommaso


Bianchi Milo, Université Paris-Dauphine



with Matteo Bobba



III. Entrepreneurship under Conflict in Afghanistan: determinants and motivations of small business owners

Valfort Marie-Anne


Ciarli Tommaso, Max Planck Institute of Economics (Chairman)



with Maria Savona, Saeed Parto






Trade and industry adjustments




I. “Trade Liberalization, Productivity, Employment and Wages: Evidence from Uruguay”

Ghazali Monia


Peluffo Adriana, Instituto de Economia, Universidad de la Republica



II. Impact of trade reforms in Tunisia on the elasticity of labor demand

Lederman Daniel


Ghazali Monia, University of Sousse



with Mouelhi Rim



III. Formal Labor Markets in Northern Mexico during the United States Recession of 2008-09

Peluffo Adriana


Lederman Daniel, The World Bank (Chairman)



with David S. Kaplan, Raymond Robertson






Vulnerability and poverty (I)




I. Risk experiments in gains and losses: Do rural villagers want micro-insurance?

Robles Marcos


Gheyssens Jonathan, ETH Zurich, Center for Development and Cooperation



with Isabel Guenther



II. Financial Crisis and Households’ Access to Financial Services: Experience from Peru

Fabre Alice


Robles Marcos, Inter-American Development Bank



with Viviane Azevedo



III. Child Labor, Idiosyncratic Shocks and Social Policy

Gheyssens Jonathan


Fabre Alice, DEFI, Université Aix Marseille II (Chairman)



with Stéphane Pallage


15:30 - 16:00

Coffee break


16:00 - 17:30

Parallel Sessions C





Agricultural households and insurance




I. Weather-index drought insurance: an ex ante evaluation for millet growers in Niger

De Nicola Francesca


Leblois Antoine, Cired



with Philippe Quirion, Agali Alhassane, Seydou Traore



II. The Impact of Weather Insurance on Consumption, Investment and Welfare

Verheyden Bertrand


De Nicola Francesca, IFPRI



III. On the interaction between mutual insurance and the risk-taking behaviour of farm households

Leblois Antoine


Verheyden Bertrand, CEPS, INSTEAD (Chairman)



with Matthieu Delpierre, Stéphanie Weynants






Health and prevention




I. The Economic Value of the Willingness-to-Pay for a Community-Based Prepayment Scheme in Rural Cameroon

Lechtenfeld Tobias


Mahieu Pierre-Alexandre, Université de Rouen



with Ephias Makaudze, Hermann Donfouet, Eric Malin



II. Consumption insurance and illness in rural Thailand and Vietnam

Djemai Elodie


Lechtenfeld Tobias, Göttingen University



with Rainer Klump, Niels Kemper



III. HIV-related Risk Taking Behavior and Income uncertainty: empirical evidence from Sub-saharan Africa

Mahieu Pierre-Alexandre


Djemai Elodie, University of Michigan (Chairman)






Informal firms and entrepreneurship




I. Product market regulation, farm size, unemployment and informality in developing economies

Berrou Jean-Philippe


Terra Cristina, Université de Cergy-Pontoise and Fundação Getulio Vargas



with Olivier Charlot, Franck Malherbet



II. Dynamique des réseaux sociaux et résilience socioéconomique des microentrepreneurs informels en milieu urbain africain

Vaillant Julia


Berrou Jean-Philippe, GREThA, UMR CNRS 5113, Université Bordeaux IV



with Claire Gondard-Delcroix



III. Informal sector dynamics in times of fragile growth: the case of  Madagascar

Terra Cristina


Vaillant Julia, DIAL, IRD, Université Paris-Dauphine (Chairman)



with Michael Grimm, Jann Lay, François Roubaud






Migration and remittances (I)




I. Impacts of migrant remittances on food security and nutrition of Farming Households in Kwara State, Nigeria

Kuhn Melanie


Babatunde Raphael, University of Ilorin



II. Migration and Remittances in South Africa: the role of political factors

Chort Isabelle


Kuhn Melanie, DIAL, Université Paris-Dauphine



with El Mouhoub Mouhoud, Florence Arestoff



III. Migrant Networks as a Basis for Social control: remittance obligations among Senegalese in France and Italy

Bargain Olivier


Chort Isabelle, Paris School of Economics



with Flore Gubert, Jean-Noël Senne



IV. Relative Concerns of Rural-to-Urban Migrants in China

Babatunde Raphael


Bargain Olivier, University College Dublin (Chairman)



with Alpaslan Akay






Volatility & growth (I)




I. Is VAT stabilizing?

Montalbano Pierluigi


Ebeke Christian, CERDI, Université d'Auvergne and IMF


with Helene Ehrhart



II. Macroeconomic fluctuations and foreign assets: a cross-country empirical analysis

Rougier Eric


Montalbano Pierluigi, Sapienza University of Rome



III. External shocks and volatility: New insights from three episodes of crisis

Gassie Esmeralda


Rougier Eric, GREThA, UMR CNRS 5113, Université Bordeaux IV



with Nicet-Chenaf Dalila



IV. Structural breaks and financial volatility: lessons from the BRIC countries

Ebeke Christian


Gassie Esmeralda, University of Limerick (Chairman)



with Lucia Morales





Visit of Musée d'Orsay and Gala Dinner at the museum restaurant





Friday, July 1st 



9:00 - 9:30

Breakfast and Registration


9:30 - 10:30

Keynote: Stefan Dercon (University of Oxford)


"Insuring the Poor: some recent puzzles"



10:30 - 11:00


Coffee break


11:00 - 12:30

Parallel Sessions D






Farm income




I. Market Competition in Export Cash Crops and Farm Income

Promsopha G.


Depetris Chauvin Nicolas, African Center for Economic Transformation


with Guido Porto



II. Land ownership as insurance and the market for land. A study in rural Vietnam

De Laiglesia Juan R.


Promsopha Gwendoline, Universite Paris Ouest la Defense, EconomiX



III. Why do farmers sell their land? Evidence from Nicaragua

Depetris Chauvin N.


De Laiglesia Juan Ramon, OECD Development Centre (Chairman)






Finance and monetary policy (II)




I. Do surges in international capital flows influence the likelihood of banking crises?

Maarek Paul


Caballero Julian, Santa Cruz, University of California


II. Which factor bears the cost of currency crises?

Mallick Sushanta


Maarek Paul, Banque de France



with Elsa Orgiazzi



III. Macroeconomic effects of monetary policy and implicit exchange rate targeting in India

Caballero Julian


Mallick Sushanta, Queen Mary University of London (Chairman)






Migration and remittances (II)




I. Remittances and household expenditure patterns in Tajikistan: A propensity score matching analysis

Delpierre Matthieu


Clément Matthieu, GREThA, UMR CNRS 5113, Université Bordeaux IV



II. Remittances as pure or precautionary investment? Risk, savings and return migration

Kroeger Antje


Delpierre Matthieu, Université Catholique de Louvain



with Bertrand Verheyden



III. Employment and the Financial Crisis in Tajikistan

Clément Matthieu


Kroeger Antje, German Institute for Economic Research (Chairman)



with Kristina Meier






Price fluctuations




I. Impact des fluctuations des prix internationaux sur l'économie du Burkina Faso et politique d'atténuation de crise à l'aide d'un modèle d'équilibre général calculable

Adeniyi Oluwatosin


Richard Guissou, DGPER, DPSAA, Ouagadougou


with Adama Koursangama



II. Oil price shocks and economic growth in nigeria: are thresholds important?

Catherine Simonet


Adeniyi Oluwatosin, Redeemers University



III. Price volatility in Niger: are grain markets driven by speculation?

Richard Guissou


Catherine Simonet, CERDI, Université d'Auvergne  (Chairman)



with Araujo Catherine






Vulnerability and poverty (II)




I. Choc climatique, pauvreté et diversification des revenus dans la zone de Niakhar (Sénégal) entre 2000 et 2003

Latif Dramani


Vandermeersch Céline, IPDSR, IRD



with Audrey Naulin



II. Polarisation de la pauvreté au Sénégal

Fouzia Ejjanoui


Latif Dramani, Université de Thiès



III. Inégalité et polarisation des dépenses des ménages au Maroc : évolution et état actuel

Vandermeersch Céline


Fouzia Ejjanoui, Université Mohamed V Rabat-Agdal (Chairman)



with Touhami Abdelkhalek




12:30 - 14:00



14:00 - 15h30

Parallel Sessions E






Education (II)




I. Exogenous Fertility shocks and children school attainment

Senne Jean Noel


Koissy-Kpein Sandrine, CESP, INSTEAD



with Mathias Kuepie, Michel Tenikue



II. Death and Schooling Decisions over the short and long run in rural Madagascar

Scorzafave Luiz


Senne Jean Noel, DIAL, CREST (INSEE), Paris School of Economics



III. Dengue outbreaks and the impact on school proficiency

Koissy-Kpein Sandrine


Scorzafave Luiz, University of São Paulo (Chairman)



with Daniel Roland






Microcredit and microinsurance




I. Les systèmes financiers décentralisés de l’UEMOA : un outil de réduction de la pauvreté et de promotion de la scolarisation essai d'évaluation empirique sur donnés de panel

Randriamanampisoa Holimalala


Momar Khary Mbow, CARE, Université de Rouen



II. Microcrédit et gestion des risques ; une analyse par les capabilites : le cas des ménages ruraux de madagascar

Sukadi Mata Ritha


Randriamanampisoa Holimalala, Université de Montpellier 1



with Randriamanampisoa Holimalala



III. Withdrawal Risk analysis in Microfinance: Comparing Migrants’ Deposits with Local Deposits

Momar Khary Mbow


Sukadi Mata Ritha, CERMi, Université Libre de Bruxelles (Chairman)






Rural households




I. Intra Household Labor Supply, Agricultural Shocks and Women’s Bargaining Power in Rural Ethiopia

Thomas Anne-Claire


Dito Bilisuma, ISS, Erasmus University Rotterdam


II. Wealth Differentiated Risk Management Strategies. Evidence from Madagascar

Urkato Samuel


Thomas Anne-Claire, DIAL, Université de Louvain



with Matthieu Delpierre, Bertrand Verheyden,



III. Microfinance Impact on Poor Rural Women Empowerment: A Household–Level Bargaining Analysis (The DECSI Case : Tigray State, Nothern Ethiopia)

Dito Bilisuma


Urkato Samuel, Wolaita Sodo University (Chairman)






Volatility & growth (II)




I. Business Cycles in Subsaharan African Countries

Vicard Vincent


Jidoud Ahmat, TSE-GREMAQ, Université Toulouse 1 Capitole



II. Trade and income: using civil wars in transit countries as external shocks on trade

Naoussi Claude F.


Vicard Vincent, Banque de France



with Mathieu Couttenier



III. Trend shocks and business cycles in Sub Saharan Africa

Jidoud Ahmat


Naoussi Claude Francis, University of Nantes and LEMNA (Chairman)


with Claude Francis Naoussi, Fabien Tripier





15:30 - 16:00

Coffee break


16:00 - 17:30

Parallel Sessions F






Macroeconomic effects of remittances




I. Natural disasters, conflict and aid allocation

Mazhar Y. Mughal


Wagner Natascha, Graduate Institute-Geneva



with Aude-Sophie Rodella



II. Remittances and Dutch Disease in Pakistan - a Bayesian analysis

Le Goff Maëlan


Mazhar Y. Mughal, CATT, Université de Pau et des Pays de l'Adour



with Farid Makhlouf



III. Aid and remittances: their stabilizing impact compared

Coulibaly Dramane


Le Goff Maëlan, CERDI, Université d'Auvergne



with Patrick Guillaumont



IV. How does financial development influence the impact of remittances on grothw volatility

Wagner Natascha


Coulibaly Dramane, CEPII (Chairman)



with Ibrahim Ahamada






Persistence of health shocks




I. Transitory shocks and birth weights: evidence from a blackout in Zanzibar

Mazumdar Sumit


Burlando Alfredo, University of Oregon



II. Multiple Shocks, Coping and Welfare Consequences natural disasters and health shocks in Indian Sundarbans

Bhalotra Sonia


Mazumdar Sumit, Indian Institute of Technology Mandi



with Papiya Guha Mazumdar, Barun Kanjilal



III. Is the Captain of the Men of Death still at play? Long-run impacts of early life pneumonia exposure during the Sulfa Drug Revolution in America

Burlando Alfredo


Bhalotra Sonia, University of Bristol (Chairman)



with Atheendar Venkataramani






Social networks (II)




I. What's the marginal value of my peers? Empirical investigation of the shape of peer effects in the South Africa labour market

Borga Liyousew G.


Ferrant Gaelle, Université de Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne



with Yannick Bourquin



II. Local Social Networks, Shocks and Rainfall Patterns in the Highlands of Ethiopia

Debebe Zelalem


Borga Liyousew Gebremedhin, Younglives Project, EDRI



with Mintewab Bezabih, Zenebe Gebreegziabher



III. Child Labor, Agricultural Shocks and Labor Sharing in Rural Ethiopia

Grimm Michael


Debebe Zelalem, ISS, Erasmus University Rotterdam


IV. Kinship-ties and entrepreneurship in Western Africa

Ferrant Gaelle


Grimm Michael, Erasmus University Rotterdam (Chairman)



with Flore Gubert, Ousman Koriko, Jann Lay, Christophe J. Nordman






Trade and intra-national adjustments




I. The determinants of regional manufacturing labor productivity in Mexico

Diaw Diadié


Escobar Gamboa Octavio, ESG Management School



II. Performance à l'exportation et commerce Sud-Sud: une analyse sectorielle appliquée à l'Afrique Sub-saharienne

Yucer Aycil


Diaw Diadié, Care, Université de Rouen


with Rieber Arsène, Tran Thi Anh-Dao



III. Did MERCOSUR affect interstate Brazilian trade?

Castilho Marta


Yucer Aycil, DIAL, Université Paris-Dauphine



with Jean-Marc Siroën, Aycil Yucer



IV. Trade Liberalization, Inequality and Poverty in Brazilian States

Escobar Gamboa O.


Castilho Marta, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (Chairman)


with Aude Sztulman, Marta Menendez





Closing Cocktail




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