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DIAL Development Conference 

Shocks in Developing Countries

June 30th and July 1st 2011, Paris

 

 
Programme Overview (printable version with rooms)
 
 
June 30th 2011
 
8:30 -  9:00 Breakfast and Registration
9:00 -  9:30 Opening speech
9:30 - 10:30 Keynote: Ann Harrison (University of California, Berkeley and NBER)
"Industrial Policy and Competition"
10:30 - 11:00 Coffee break
11:00 - 12:30 Parallel Sessions A
12:30 - 14:00 Lunch
14:00 - 15:30 Parallel Sessions B
15:30 - 16:00 Coffee break
16:00 - 17:30 Parallel Sessions C
18:00 Visit of Musée d'Orsay and Gala Dinner at the museum restaurant
 
July 1st 2011

9:00 -  9:30 Breakfast and Registration
9:30 - 10:30 Keynote: Stefan Dercon (Oxford University)
"Insuring the Poor: some recent puzzles"
10:30 - 11:00 Coffee break
11:00 - 12:30 Parallel Sessions D
12:30 - 14:00 Lunch
14:00 - 15:30 Parallel Sessions E
15:30 - 16:00 Coffee break
16:00 - 17:30 Parallel Sessions F
17:30 Closing Cocktail

Detailed Programme (printable version with rooms)

To download a paper, simply click on its title

Thursday, June 30th 
      
 

8:30 - 9:00

Breakfast and Registration

 

9:00 - 9:30

Opening speech

 

9:30 - 10:30

Keynote: Ann Harrison (University of California, Berkeley and NBER)

"Industrial Policy and Competition"

 

 

10:30 - 11:00

Coffee break

 

11:00 - 12:30

Parallel Sessions A

 

 

 

 

A1

Climate change & natural disaster

Discussant

     

 

I. Climate change compounding risks in North Africa

Zylberberg Yanos

 

Drine Imed, UNU, WIDER

 

 

II. Do tropical typhoons smash community ties? Theory and Evidence from Vietnam

Echevin Damien

 

Zylberberg Yanos, Paris School of Economics

 

 

III. Food Security and the Allocation of Emergency Relief Funds after the 2010 Earthquake in Haiti

Drine Imed

 

Echevin Damien, University of Sherbrooke and CRCELB (Chairman)

 

 

 

 

A2

Finance and monetary policy (I)

Discussant

     

 

I. Decomposing Terms of Trade Fluctuations in Ethiopia

Ndiaye Ameth S.

 

Loening Dr. Josef, The World Bank

 

 

with Masato Higashi

 

 

II. Impact de la fuite des capitaux sur l’investissement domestique en Zone Franc

Nubukpo Kako Kossivi

 

Ndiaye Ameth Saloum, Department of Economics, University of Dakar

 

 

III. Impact d’une dévaluation du Franc CFA sur la balance commerciale et la production dans les pays de l’Union Economique et Monétaire Ouest Africaine (UEMOA)

Loening Dr. Josef

 

Nubukpo Kako Kossivi, UEMOA, Unité de Programmation Stratégique (Chairman)

 

with Cedric Kiema, Gilles Sanou

 

 

 

 

A3

Food prices

Discussant

     

 

I. Food prices, social unrest and the Facebook generation: are you prepared for the total collapse?

Jean Sébastien

 

Arora Abhimanyu, Katholieke Universiteit, Leuven

 

 

with Marijke Verpoorten, Jo Swinnen

 

 

II. Optimal food price stabilisation in a small open developing country

Fruttero Anna

 

Jean Sébastien, INRA and CEPII

 

 

with Christophe Gouel

 

 

III. Rising food prices and household welfare: evidence from Brazil in 2008

Arora Abhimanyu

 

Fruttero Anna, The World Bank (Chairman)

 

 

with Francisco H.G. Ferreira, Phillippe Leite, Leonardo Lucchetti

 

 

 

A4

Political instability and war

Discussant

     

 

I. Children of the Revolution: Fetal and Child Health amidst violent civil conflict

Leone Marinella

 

Valente Christine, University of Sheffield

 

 

II. First and Second Generation Health Impacts of the Biafran War

Muller Christophe

 

Leone Marinella, University of Sussex

 

 

with Richard Akresh, Sonia Bhalotra, Una Osili

 

 

III. Group violence, ethnic diversity, and citizen participation: evidence from Indonesia

Valente Christine

 

Muller Christophe, DEFI, AMSE, Université d'Aix-Marseille (Chairman)

 

 

with Marc Vothknecht

 

 

 

 

A5

Social networks (I)

Discussant

     

 

I. Saving microinsurance: why you should do both or nothing. A behavioral experiment on the Philippines

Adjakidje Didier

 

Landmann Andreas, University of Mannheim

 

 

with Bjoern Vollan, Markus Froelich

 

 

II. Capital social et pauvreté au Cameroun

Comola Margherita

 

Adjakidje Didier, Catholic Relief Services, Benin

 

 

with Janvier Metangmo, Komi A. Segla

 

 

III. Are Gifts and Loans between Households Voluntary?

Landmann Andreas

 

Comola Margherita, Paris School of Economics (Chairman)

 

 

 

 

12:30 - 14:00

Lunch

 

14:00 - 15:30

Parallel Sessions B

 

 

 

 

B1

Education (I)

Discussant

     

 

I. The impact of income shocks on children education: the 1987-1989 locust plague in Mali

Luzi Lucia

 

Guilbert Nathalie, DIAL, Université Paris-Dauphine

 

 

with Philippe De Vreyer, Sandrine Mesplé-Somps

 

 

II. Long-Term Impact of Health and Nutrition Status on Education Outcomes for children in Rural Tanzania

Menendez Marta

 

Luzi Lucia, Unicef, IRC

 

 

III. Critical periods and the long-run effects of income shocks on education: evidence from Indonesia

Guilbert Nathalie

 

Menendez Marta, DIAL, Université Paris-Dauphine (Chairman)

 

 

with Jérémie Gignoux

 

 

 

 

B2

Employment and occupational choices

Discussant

     

 

I. The impact of weather shock induced migration flows on labor market outcomes: evidence from Sub-saharan Africa

Bianchi Milo

 

Valfort Marie-Anne, Université de Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne

 

 

with Eric Strobl

 

 

II. Liquidity, Risk, and Occupational Choices

Ciarli Tommaso

 

Bianchi Milo, Université Paris-Dauphine

 

 

with Matteo Bobba

 

 

III. Entrepreneurship under Conflict in Afghanistan: determinants and motivations of small business owners

Valfort Marie-Anne

 

Ciarli Tommaso, Max Planck Institute of Economics (Chairman)

 

 

with Maria Savona, Saeed Parto

 

 

 

 

B3

Trade and industry adjustments

Discussant

     

 

I. “Trade Liberalization, Productivity, Employment and Wages: Evidence from Uruguay”

Ghazali Monia

 

Peluffo Adriana, Instituto de Economia, Universidad de la Republica

 

 

II. Impact of trade reforms in Tunisia on the elasticity of labor demand

Lederman Daniel

 

Ghazali Monia, University of Sousse

 

 

with Mouelhi Rim

 

 

III. Formal Labor Markets in Northern Mexico during the United States Recession of 2008-09

Peluffo Adriana

 

Lederman Daniel, The World Bank (Chairman)

 

 

with David S. Kaplan, Raymond Robertson

 

 

 

 

B4

Vulnerability and poverty (I)

Discussant

     

 

I. Risk experiments in gains and losses: Do rural villagers want micro-insurance?

Robles Marcos

 

Gheyssens Jonathan, ETH Zurich, Center for Development and Cooperation

 

 

with Isabel Guenther

 

 

II. Financial Crisis and Households’ Access to Financial Services: Experience from Peru

Fabre Alice

 

Robles Marcos, Inter-American Development Bank

 

 

with Viviane Azevedo

 

 

III. Child Labor, Idiosyncratic Shocks and Social Policy

Gheyssens Jonathan

 

Fabre Alice, DEFI, Université Aix Marseille II (Chairman)

 

 

with Stéphane Pallage

 

15:30 - 16:00

Coffee break

 

16:00 - 17:30

Parallel Sessions C

 

 

 

C1

Agricultural households and insurance

Discussant

     

 

I. Weather-index drought insurance: an ex ante evaluation for millet growers in Niger

De Nicola Francesca

 

Leblois Antoine, Cired

 

 

with Philippe Quirion, Agali Alhassane, Seydou Traore

 

 

II. The Impact of Weather Insurance on Consumption, Investment and Welfare

Verheyden Bertrand

 

De Nicola Francesca, IFPRI

 

 

III. On the interaction between mutual insurance and the risk-taking behaviour of farm households

Leblois Antoine

 

Verheyden Bertrand, CEPS, INSTEAD (Chairman)

 

 

with Matthieu Delpierre, Stéphanie Weynants

 

 

 

 

C2

Health and prevention

Discussant

     

 

I. The Economic Value of the Willingness-to-Pay for a Community-Based Prepayment Scheme in Rural Cameroon

Lechtenfeld Tobias

 

Mahieu Pierre-Alexandre, Université de Rouen

 

 

with Ephias Makaudze, Hermann Donfouet, Eric Malin

 

 

II. Consumption insurance and illness in rural Thailand and Vietnam

Djemai Elodie

 

Lechtenfeld Tobias, Göttingen University

 

 

with Rainer Klump, Niels Kemper

 

 

III. HIV-related Risk Taking Behavior and Income uncertainty: empirical evidence from Sub-saharan Africa

Mahieu Pierre-Alexandre

 

Djemai Elodie, University of Michigan (Chairman)

 

 

 

 

C3

Informal firms and entrepreneurship

Discussant

     

 

I. Product market regulation, farm size, unemployment and informality in developing economies

Berrou Jean-Philippe

 

Terra Cristina, Université de Cergy-Pontoise and Fundação Getulio Vargas

 

 

with Olivier Charlot, Franck Malherbet

 

 

II. Dynamique des réseaux sociaux et résilience socioéconomique des microentrepreneurs informels en milieu urbain africain

Vaillant Julia

 

Berrou Jean-Philippe, GREThA, UMR CNRS 5113, Université Bordeaux IV

 

 

with Claire Gondard-Delcroix

 

 

III. Informal sector dynamics in times of fragile growth: the case of  Madagascar

Terra Cristina

 

Vaillant Julia, DIAL, IRD, Université Paris-Dauphine (Chairman)

 

 

with Michael Grimm, Jann Lay, François Roubaud

 

 

 

 

C4

Migration and remittances (I)

Discussant

     

 

I. Impacts of migrant remittances on food security and nutrition of Farming Households in Kwara State, Nigeria

Kuhn Melanie

 

Babatunde Raphael, University of Ilorin

 

 

II. Migration and Remittances in South Africa: the role of political factors

Chort Isabelle

 

Kuhn Melanie, DIAL, Université Paris-Dauphine

 

 

with El Mouhoub Mouhoud, Florence Arestoff

 

 

III. Migrant Networks as a Basis for Social control: remittance obligations among Senegalese in France and Italy

Bargain Olivier

 

Chort Isabelle, Paris School of Economics

 

 

with Flore Gubert, Jean-Noël Senne

 

 

IV. Relative Concerns of Rural-to-Urban Migrants in China

Babatunde Raphael

 

Bargain Olivier, University College Dublin (Chairman)

 

 

with Alpaslan Akay

 

 

 

 

C5

Volatility & growth (I)

Discussant

     

 

I. Is VAT stabilizing?

Montalbano Pierluigi

 

Ebeke Christian, CERDI, Université d'Auvergne and IMF

 

with Helene Ehrhart

 

 

II. Macroeconomic fluctuations and foreign assets: a cross-country empirical analysis

Rougier Eric

 

Montalbano Pierluigi, Sapienza University of Rome

 

 

III. External shocks and volatility: New insights from three episodes of crisis

Gassie Esmeralda

 

Rougier Eric, GREThA, UMR CNRS 5113, Université Bordeaux IV

 

 

with Nicet-Chenaf Dalila

 

 

IV. Structural breaks and financial volatility: lessons from the BRIC countries

Ebeke Christian

 

Gassie Esmeralda, University of Limerick (Chairman)

 

 

with Lucia Morales

 

 

 

18:00

Visit of Musée d'Orsay and Gala Dinner at the museum restaurant

 

 

 

 

Friday, July 1st 

 

 

9:00 - 9:30

Breakfast and Registration

 

9:30 - 10:30

Keynote: Stefan Dercon (University of Oxford)

 


"Insuring the Poor: some recent puzzles"

 

 

10:30 - 11:00

 

Coffee break

 

11:00 - 12:30

Parallel Sessions D

 

 

 

 

D1

Farm income

Discussant

     

 

I. Market Competition in Export Cash Crops and Farm Income

Promsopha G.

 

Depetris Chauvin Nicolas, African Center for Economic Transformation

 

with Guido Porto

 

 

II. Land ownership as insurance and the market for land. A study in rural Vietnam

De Laiglesia Juan R.

 

Promsopha Gwendoline, Universite Paris Ouest la Defense, EconomiX

 

 

III. Why do farmers sell their land? Evidence from Nicaragua

Depetris Chauvin N.

 

De Laiglesia Juan Ramon, OECD Development Centre (Chairman)

 

 

 

 

D2

Finance and monetary policy (II)

Discussant

     

 

I. Do surges in international capital flows influence the likelihood of banking crises?

Maarek Paul

 

Caballero Julian, Santa Cruz, University of California

 

II. Which factor bears the cost of currency crises?

Mallick Sushanta

 

Maarek Paul, Banque de France

 

 

with Elsa Orgiazzi

 

 

III. Macroeconomic effects of monetary policy and implicit exchange rate targeting in India

Caballero Julian

 

Mallick Sushanta, Queen Mary University of London (Chairman)

 

 

 

 

D3

Migration and remittances (II)

Discussant

     

 

I. Remittances and household expenditure patterns in Tajikistan: A propensity score matching analysis

Delpierre Matthieu

 

Clément Matthieu, GREThA, UMR CNRS 5113, Université Bordeaux IV

 

 

II. Remittances as pure or precautionary investment? Risk, savings and return migration

Kroeger Antje

 

Delpierre Matthieu, Université Catholique de Louvain

 

 

with Bertrand Verheyden

 

 

III. Employment and the Financial Crisis in Tajikistan

Clément Matthieu

 

Kroeger Antje, German Institute for Economic Research (Chairman)

 

 

with Kristina Meier

 

 

 

 

D4

Price fluctuations

Discussant

     

 

I. Impact des fluctuations des prix internationaux sur l'économie du Burkina Faso et politique d'atténuation de crise à l'aide d'un modèle d'équilibre général calculable

Adeniyi Oluwatosin

 

Richard Guissou, DGPER, DPSAA, Ouagadougou

 

with Adama Koursangama

 

 

II. Oil price shocks and economic growth in nigeria: are thresholds important?

Catherine Simonet

 

Adeniyi Oluwatosin, Redeemers University

 

 

III. Price volatility in Niger: are grain markets driven by speculation?

Richard Guissou

 

Catherine Simonet, CERDI, Université d'Auvergne  (Chairman)

 

 

with Araujo Catherine

 

 

 

 

D5

Vulnerability and poverty (II)

Discussant

     

 

I. Choc climatique, pauvreté et diversification des revenus dans la zone de Niakhar (Sénégal) entre 2000 et 2003

Latif Dramani

 

Vandermeersch Céline, IPDSR, IRD

 

 

with Audrey Naulin

 

 

II. Polarisation de la pauvreté au Sénégal

Fouzia Ejjanoui

 

Latif Dramani, Université de Thiès

 

 

III. Inégalité et polarisation des dépenses des ménages au Maroc : évolution et état actuel

Vandermeersch Céline

 

Fouzia Ejjanoui, Université Mohamed V Rabat-Agdal (Chairman)

 

 

with Touhami Abdelkhalek

 

 

 

12:30 - 14:00

Lunch

 

14:00 - 15h30

Parallel Sessions E

 

 

 

 

E1

Education (II)

Discussant

     

 

I. Exogenous Fertility shocks and children school attainment

Senne Jean Noel

 

Koissy-Kpein Sandrine, CESP, INSTEAD

 

 

with Mathias Kuepie, Michel Tenikue

 

 

II. Death and Schooling Decisions over the short and long run in rural Madagascar

Scorzafave Luiz

 

Senne Jean Noel, DIAL, CREST (INSEE), Paris School of Economics

 

 

III. Dengue outbreaks and the impact on school proficiency

Koissy-Kpein Sandrine

 

Scorzafave Luiz, University of São Paulo (Chairman)

 

 

with Daniel Roland

 

 

 

 

E2

Microcredit and microinsurance

Discussant

     

 

I. Les systèmes financiers décentralisés de l’UEMOA : un outil de réduction de la pauvreté et de promotion de la scolarisation essai d'évaluation empirique sur donnés de panel

Randriamanampisoa Holimalala

 

Momar Khary Mbow, CARE, Université de Rouen

 

 

II. Microcrédit et gestion des risques ; une analyse par les capabilites : le cas des ménages ruraux de madagascar

Sukadi Mata Ritha

 

Randriamanampisoa Holimalala, Université de Montpellier 1

 

 

with Randriamanampisoa Holimalala

 

 

III. Withdrawal Risk analysis in Microfinance: Comparing Migrants’ Deposits with Local Deposits

Momar Khary Mbow

 

Sukadi Mata Ritha, CERMi, Université Libre de Bruxelles (Chairman)

 

 

 

 

E3

Rural households

Discussant

     

 

I. Intra Household Labor Supply, Agricultural Shocks and Women’s Bargaining Power in Rural Ethiopia

Thomas Anne-Claire

 

Dito Bilisuma, ISS, Erasmus University Rotterdam

 

II. Wealth Differentiated Risk Management Strategies. Evidence from Madagascar

Urkato Samuel

 

Thomas Anne-Claire, DIAL, Université de Louvain

 

 

with Matthieu Delpierre, Bertrand Verheyden,

 

 

III. Microfinance Impact on Poor Rural Women Empowerment: A Household–Level Bargaining Analysis (The DECSI Case : Tigray State, Nothern Ethiopia)

Dito Bilisuma

 

Urkato Samuel, Wolaita Sodo University (Chairman)

 

 

 

 

E4

Volatility & growth (II)

Discussant

     

 

I. Business Cycles in Subsaharan African Countries

Vicard Vincent

 

Jidoud Ahmat, TSE-GREMAQ, Université Toulouse 1 Capitole

 

 

II. Trade and income: using civil wars in transit countries as external shocks on trade

Naoussi Claude F.

 

Vicard Vincent, Banque de France

 

 

with Mathieu Couttenier

 

 

III. Trend shocks and business cycles in Sub Saharan Africa

Jidoud Ahmat

 

Naoussi Claude Francis, University of Nantes and LEMNA (Chairman)

 

with Claude Francis Naoussi, Fabien Tripier

 

 

 

 

15:30 - 16:00

Coffee break

 

16:00 - 17:30

Parallel Sessions F

 

 

 

 

F1

Macroeconomic effects of remittances

Discussant

     

 

I. Natural disasters, conflict and aid allocation

Mazhar Y. Mughal

 

Wagner Natascha, Graduate Institute-Geneva

 

 

with Aude-Sophie Rodella

 

 

II. Remittances and Dutch Disease in Pakistan - a Bayesian analysis

Le Goff Maëlan

 

Mazhar Y. Mughal, CATT, Université de Pau et des Pays de l'Adour

 

 

with Farid Makhlouf

 

 

III. Aid and remittances: their stabilizing impact compared

Coulibaly Dramane

 

Le Goff Maëlan, CERDI, Université d'Auvergne

 

 

with Patrick Guillaumont

 

 

IV. How does financial development influence the impact of remittances on grothw volatility

Wagner Natascha

 

Coulibaly Dramane, CEPII (Chairman)

 

 

with Ibrahim Ahamada

 

 

 

 

F2

Persistence of health shocks

Discussant

     

 

I. Transitory shocks and birth weights: evidence from a blackout in Zanzibar

Mazumdar Sumit

 

Burlando Alfredo, University of Oregon

 

 

II. Multiple Shocks, Coping and Welfare Consequences natural disasters and health shocks in Indian Sundarbans

Bhalotra Sonia

 

Mazumdar Sumit, Indian Institute of Technology Mandi

 

 

with Papiya Guha Mazumdar, Barun Kanjilal

 

 

III. Is the Captain of the Men of Death still at play? Long-run impacts of early life pneumonia exposure during the Sulfa Drug Revolution in America

Burlando Alfredo

 

Bhalotra Sonia, University of Bristol (Chairman)

 

 

with Atheendar Venkataramani

 

 

 

 

F3

Social networks (II)

Discussant

     

 

I. What's the marginal value of my peers? Empirical investigation of the shape of peer effects in the South Africa labour market

Borga Liyousew G.

 

Ferrant Gaelle, Université de Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne

 

 

with Yannick Bourquin

 

 

II. Local Social Networks, Shocks and Rainfall Patterns in the Highlands of Ethiopia

Debebe Zelalem

 

Borga Liyousew Gebremedhin, Younglives Project, EDRI

 

 

with Mintewab Bezabih, Zenebe Gebreegziabher

 

 

III. Child Labor, Agricultural Shocks and Labor Sharing in Rural Ethiopia

Grimm Michael

 

Debebe Zelalem, ISS, Erasmus University Rotterdam

 

IV. Kinship-ties and entrepreneurship in Western Africa

Ferrant Gaelle

 

Grimm Michael, Erasmus University Rotterdam (Chairman)

 

 

with Flore Gubert, Ousman Koriko, Jann Lay, Christophe J. Nordman

 

 

 

 

F4

Trade and intra-national adjustments

Discussant

     

 

I. The determinants of regional manufacturing labor productivity in Mexico

Diaw Diadié

 

Escobar Gamboa Octavio, ESG Management School

 

 

II. Performance à l'exportation et commerce Sud-Sud: une analyse sectorielle appliquée à l'Afrique Sub-saharienne

Yucer Aycil

 

Diaw Diadié, Care, Université de Rouen

 

with Rieber Arsène, Tran Thi Anh-Dao

 

 

III. Did MERCOSUR affect interstate Brazilian trade?

Castilho Marta

 

Yucer Aycil, DIAL, Université Paris-Dauphine

 

 

with Jean-Marc Siroën, Aycil Yucer

 

 

IV. Trade Liberalization, Inequality and Poverty in Brazilian States

Escobar Gamboa O.

 

Castilho Marta, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (Chairman)

 

with Aude Sztulman, Marta Menendez

 

 

 

17:30

Closing Cocktail

 

 
 
  


 


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